With two weeks to go until election day, this is how I see things shaking out:
Beck beats Karcher, convincingly, in the 12th Senate race.
O'Scanlon and Panter win in the 12th Assembly races. No recounts.
Republicans sweep the 13th legislative races. Pat Walsh makes an impressive showing and Democrats blame her loss on too much money wasted on Karcher.
In the 11th, Republicans sweep by the largest margins ever in the lowest turnout race ever. The 11th, where the neither party has made much of an effort turns out to be the key to the county races.
Sheriff: Hill by 5+%.
Clerk: Choudary by 2+%*
Both Guadagno and French are hurt by low Republican voter turnout in the 11th, where the top of the ticket is running virtually unopposed. The Jack Hill Lied website backfires on Guadagno and the Absentee mailer backfires on French. Hill, Schueler and D'Amico get their base out to vote in the 11th.
* If Sean Kean and Claire French can get the vote out in Wall, French can save her seat, barely.
Freeholder: Cantor and Schueler. The voters go for the fresh faces.
Adam Puharic will blame the loss on Anna Little.
Bill Barham will try to get Schueler and McMarrow to support him for Director in 2008. It won't work.
Alan Moretti will not start talking to Tommy DeSeno until after the election. Alan's singing will be so good that he will get nominated for a Emmoretty.
The Chairman's race has already started.
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