Republican pollster extraordinaire and cable TV phenomena Adam Geller has produced a poll that indicates Fair Haven Mayor Mike Halfacre beats Congressman Rush Holt by a 46%-41% margin. The same poll shows Holt dominating Scott Sipprelle 55%-20%, according to a Halfacre "internal campaign memo" obtained by "Wally Edge" at Politickernj.
With all the shilling I've been doing for Halfacre, you'd think they'd leak the poll to MMM.
Geller's firm, National Research Inc. polled 300 likely voters between February 24-25 and has a margin of error of +/- 5.66%
Posts
17 comments:
How did they get that "internal campaign memo"? Are you telling me when asked whether they would vote for a "hard tax cutting mayor" or a "Wall Street Insider" more people picked the tax cutter? Gee wiz how could that be? You can bet less than 1% of 300 random people ever heard of Halfacre or Sipprelle. I hope Halfacre ain't hanging his hopes on a rigged poll question like that. Another nail in the coffin of his credibility, hope it is worth it.
I know someone who was polled. They said the format of the questions was such that it was impossible not to give them the answers they wanted, which favored Halfacre. Given that fact, I find the results unreliable.
Art: You have now gone beyond simple advocacy on behalf of Halfacre to outright intellectual dishonesty by failing to disclose on your blog posting the incredibly biased poll question that was put to a group of potential voters. As disclosed on the Save Jersey blog, the poll question at issue was as follows:
"In a head to head ballot test between Holt and “a Republican who, as Mayor, cut spending and lowered property taxes three years in a row,” Holt trailed by five percentage points, 46%-41%. Against “a Republican who made millions on Wall Street, and who contributed some of his money to Democrats like Chuck Schumer and five House Democrats as recently as June of 2009,” Holt has a huge lead: 55%-20%. "
Nice try. Apparently, you and the Halfacre people think Republican voters in this district are so stupid that they are going to take this self-serving "poll" seriously. What do you think the poll results would have been if the hypothetical match-ups had instead been characterized to the group of potential voters as follows: (1) Holt vs. a small-town mayor/lawyer/professional politician who makes his living off the taxpayer doing government legal work and who refused to allow the Boy Scouts access to public school facilities on the basis that they are an organization that practices “discrimination;” and (2) Holt vs. a successful entrepreneur who provides growth capital for small businesses, who protected his investors from the financial meltdown, and who fought corruption on Wall Street?
You and the rest of the Halfacre camp must be getting pretty desperate if you feel the need to resort to this type of intellectual dishonesty to advance your candidate. Have you no shame?
what a joke.
I know Halfacre is desperate so this comes as no surprise. But what disappoints me is that Adam Geller is better then this. Putting his name on a decietful poll like this will tarnish his reputation. Shame on him!
Art: You have now gone beyond simple advocacy on behalf of Halfacre to outright intellectual dishonesty by failing to disclose on your blog posting the incredibly biased poll question that was put to a group of potential voters. As disclosed on the Save Jersey blog, the poll question at issue was as follows:
"In a head to head ballot test between Holt and “a Republican who, as Mayor, cut spending and lowered property taxes three years in a row,” Holt trailed by five percentage points, 46%-41%. Against “a Republican who made millions on Wall Street, and who contributed some of his money to Democrats like Chuck Schumer and five House Democrats as recently as June of 2009,” Holt has a huge lead: 55%-20%. "
Nice try. Apparently, you and the Halfacre people think Republican voters in this district are so stupid that they are going to take this self-serving "poll" seriously. What do you think the poll results would have been if the hypothetical match-ups had instead been characterized to the group of potential voters as follows: (1) Holt vs. a small-town mayor/lawyer/professional politician who makes his living off the taxpayer doing government legal work and who refused to allow the Boy Scouts access to public school facilities on the basis that they are an organization that practices “discrimination;” and (2) Holt vs. a successful entrepreneur who provides growth capital for small businesses, who protected his investors from the financial meltdown, and who fought corruption on Wall Street?
You and the rest of the Halfacre camp must be getting pretty desperate if you feel the need to resort to this type of intellectual dishonesty to advance your candidate. Have you no shame?
Tsk, tsk, tsk.
If I was intellectually dishonest I would not be allowing your desparate rant.
I linked the politicker story, I disclosed that the poll came from a Halfacre internal campaign memo. I even joked about being a Halfacre shrill.
You Sipprelle weanies are way too uptight.
This poll is clearly biased. And how come you have not put the poll question up on your blog? Every other blog has including Save Jersey. You are so biased it's laughable.
The intent of this push poll is plainly to mislead undecideds (like me) into thinking Halfacre > Sipprelle. Anyone convinced by this poll?
This is the "Hail Mary" pass by the Halfacre campaign.
I wonder how much was paid in some form or another for this bogus poll. After all, they don't got much money.
Cue up "Desperado".
Halfacre has been collecting a state pension for about 5 yrs I believe...isnt this what Christie is trying to stop
It is unfortunate that there is so much animosity intra-party - it would be great to be discussing the relative merits of two individuals that have tossed their hat in the ring to defeat Rush Holt-nice person but HORRIBLE, ultra-liberal Congressman. I am not an "insider" but by reading posts it appears that Mr. Halfacre has annoyed and/or alienated a number of his prospective constituents and has gained (true or not) a rep for being a political hack. That is troubling. Scott Sipprelle's choice to not engage on the issues with a respected blogger is also troubling. What to do??? Looking at each prospective candidate's credentials, campaigning ability, fund raising (or self $) who can beat Rush Holt? That is the question. Unfortunately, I do not have the answer now but pose that as the issue for everyone, regardlesss of personal preference, because ANY Republican will be better than Mr. Holt.
Welcome Grace and thank you for your thoughtful comment.
Most of the negative commenters have a horse in the race.
Don't dispair most of this "intra-party" bickering is from self interested parties and does not reflect the reality of the majority of convention and screening committee voters.
omigod, please let this be over soon!
I have no horse in the race but have be driven away from Halfacre by the outrageous tripe like this "poll". As to respected bloggers, I like this site for the inside info you can find, but for someone to say Sippprelle should have given the host the time of day when the host is so obviously in the other camp is just silly. The problem with politics in Monmouth County and much of the State is too many people are influenced by nonsense like that spewed by the Halfacre campaign. I actually like the guy and the fact he is cocky but will never vote for any politician that runs campaigns like this. Unfortunately these day they almost all do, which is why we taxpayers keep paying more and more for public employees who do less and less.
Halfacre is not old enough to collect a pension you moron
Great Comment Grace
Exactly on target
I disagree Grace...JUST any Republican will not be sufficient! We not only have to gain a seat we must KEEP the seat! So just any hack will not do and just because Siprelle has not spoken to this Blog (who admits he will vote for Halfacre), does not mean a thing!
Grace, but I agree with you on your point: Every voter should read about the candidates, not listen to the lies and fabrications. Read about both, they both have websites.
Sipprelle,I believe, he brings much more to the table than Halfacre. Sipprelle, A very successful buisnessman with a great Business mind and experience in economics can do more for us in Congress than a Real Estate attorney like Halfacre.
I have NOT met many voters who said they are voting for Halfacre, he simply will not beat Holt.
Sipprelle can and will beat Holt.
A poll is simply a poll, it's only as good as the group being asked and how they are asked. Corzine polls said he would win too!
Sipprelle keeps it real! You do not hear him knocking Halfacre, because like Christie, Sipprelle is running on the issues,he has something to bring to the table unlike Halfacre.
Halfacre now resorts to dirty politics, it did not work for Lonegan and it will not work for Halfacre. The voter's are smarter than that!
Oh, by the way go to Halfacre's facebook page, he brags about how he should wear a Speedo to a meeting he is attending tonight!! Then the wife answers, I like your black one,... GAG ..
GET THE BARF BAGS READY..how can you still stomach this man? It's worse than nails on a chalk board.
Post a Comment