Mickey shares some nuggets:
The biggest challenge revealed by the poll was getting a message out to define Pallone. It is remarkable how few constituents have any opinion either way about Pallone, many know little about him and have rarely seen him in public. But when educated about his role in the Pelosi administration having voted with Pelosi over 99 percent of the time, we found that Pallone's favorable and no-opinion ratings swung quickly to the negative.
Mickey doesn't say how few constituents have no opinion of Pallone, know little about him or have rarely seen him in public. Yet he says defining Pallone was the biggest challenge. He also said the Little campaign did a remarkable job defining Diane, who was not well known prior to the primary.
Nor does Mickey tell us how far Pallone's favorable and no-opinion ratings swung negative when the respondents were pushed to identify him with Pelosi.
Despite Pallone's apparent weaknesses, Mickey writes that their polling data indicated that a moderate Republican would be running even with Pallone, a "jump ball," Mickey said.
We don't know if the Gooches polled how Pallone performs against a conservative Republican. One would think that either they didn't ask or they asked and the conservative outperformed the moderate. Otherwise it would have made since to use the polling data during the primary rather than in a post primary piece. Another possibility is that a conservative polled better among primary voters.
Pallone has said he is running on his progressive record. Yet he has also hinted that he will run to the right of his record. He told BlueJersey, "...Government should not do everything. But when we're in a recession - in tough times - that's not when the government should sit back and do less. We need to help out."
From my perspective, one of the reasons Pallone may be hard to define is that he communicates his radical progressive positions as if they are reasonable. If Mickey's data is accurate, i.e., that Pallone is largely unknown after 22 years in congress, this race might be easier than I thought it would be.